Top 10 Bogus Statements of the Climate Debate
If there is any doubt that Washington, D.C., is where hyperbole, distortions and silly arguments come home to roost, that doubt disappears as we listen to congressional debate on climate and energy policy. Even some of the statements coming from the Obama team lately inspire a loud “Huh?”
Jon Stewart would win a Nobel Prize for Truth, if one were awarded for diligence in revealing how some members of Congress, not to mention the conservative chattering classes, regularly insult the American people’s intelligence. Unfortunately, he’s only on the air 30 minutes each day.
Also unfortunately – and here’s an inconvenient truth – not all of the American people are intelligent enough about climate change to know their intelligence has been insulted. It’s a complicated topic made even more complicated by bogus arguments.
So, in the spirit of improving the quality of the debate, and with unapologetic imitation of another political satirist on night-time TV, here are today’s
Top 10 Bogus Statements of the Climate Debate (hereafter referred to as “BS”)
#10 BS: The United States can’t make a firm commitment to reduce greenhouse gases until China and India do.
Reality check: With this statement, international climate negotiations assume the stature of an Alphonse and Gaston routine. The modern version – “I’m not going to do the right thing until you do the right thing” – would be comical if it weren’t so childish and potentially tragic.
Why shouldn’t the United States make a hard commitment to cut carbon before China, India and other developing nations do? As I noted in Grading a Climate Bill: 4 Key Tests, we’re responsible for most of the greenhouse gases in the atmosphere today. We have been emitting them with abandon for generations.
On the other hand, many developing nations such as China and India are attempting to pull millions of their people from poverty. I don’t believe they deny their obligation to help solve the climate problem. In fact, many of China’s clean energy goals are more aggressive than ours. But they want the leeway to help their people approach the standard of living we enjoy in the U.S.
What the hell: Let’s be big about this and agree to go first. If we’re worried about a trade disadvantage with countries that don’t have carbon regulation, then let’s institute a “border adjustment” – the price those countries should pay for not agreeing to hard targets.
#9 BS: Coal will be with us for a long time to come. In a recent interview, the chief White House environmental advisor, Nancy Sutley of the Council on Environmental Quality, said: “[C]learly coal is a part of our energy mix now and it’s likely to be so in the future... [E]ven if we were to stop using coal tomorrow, it’s used around the world and we have to deal with its environmental impacts.”
Reality check: Of course we must deal with coal’s environmental problems, but the best way to do that is to stop using it. Accepting that coal is part of our future is not a policy that motivates us to find substitutes. And whether we can deal with its environmental impacts is open to question.
We don’t yet have and may never find a cost-effective and safe way to permanently sequester huge amounts of carbon dioxide from coal. If the technology ever is perfected, it will significantly increase the price of electric power from coal, while the price of power from renewable resources is coming down.
Then there’s mountaintop removal and all the other environmental damages and carbon emissions associated with extraction and production (See #7). Let’s shoot for an international climate agreement that sets specific near-term targets for phasing out coal power, along with an aggressive program to replace it worldwide first with natural gas, then with renewable low-carbon fuels.
#8 BS: The answer to energy security is to produce more oil, coal and gas here at home. We have ample supplies. The “drill baby drill” policy was a prominent plank at the Republican National Convention and it’s still being used, most recently by Wyoming Republican John Barrasso in a Senate Environment and Public Works Committee hearing.
Reality check: The real question today isn’t how much carbon we have left in the ground; it’s how much we can put into the sky. The answer is: No more.
As a former Saudi oil minister said, “The stone age didn’t end because we ran out of stones.” It ended because we found a better way to do things. There is no mandate that we must extract all the fossil fuels we find and burn all the fossil fuels we can extract. However, there is definitely a limit on how much we can burn – and we have reached it.
#7 BS: We are powerless to stop mountaintop removal. This was EPA Administrator Lisa Jackson’s comment when asked about the environmental terrorism being inflicted on the people of Appalachia as coal companies blow up mountains: “[T]he current state of the law and regs (regulations) doesn’t allow us to just change the law and the regs to say that this process will no longer be allowable. There’s no way to do that under current law.”
Reality check: As those who have been in government know, there’s more than one way to save a mountain. A creative administration can always find a way to lead when it wants to.
Consider the two Roosevelts. According to an analysis of executive authority commissioned by the Presidential Climate Action Project (PCAP), President Teddy Roosevelt believed that “as a steward of the people he had the power to do whatever was necessary to promote the public interest so long as it had not been forbidden by the Constitution or Congress.” In other words, when it came to doing the right thing, he was willing to ask forgiveness rather than permission.
President Franklin Roosevelt had an even more expansive philosophy of executive authority when the public interest was at stake: “In the event that Congress should fail to act, and act adequately, I shall accept the responsibility, and I will act.” In other words, if there is a leadership void he was willing to fill it.
As of a year ago, there were 96 statutory provisions in the U.S. Code that explicitly address climate change, global warming or greenhouse gases. They spanned 11 titles of the U.S. Code including agriculture, commerce, labor, public health, conservation and transportation. In addition, executive authority to protect the environment can be found in wide range of legislation, including the Clean Air and Clean Water Acts.
With all of those laws in place, surely the administration can find a way to ban mountaintop removal. If it can’t, it should ask Congress for explicit authority. If the administration is reluctant to anger the coal industry while trying to get a climate bill through Congress, then some harder bargaining is in order.
The federal government already gives huge handouts to the coal industry, including large public subsidies to develop carbon capture and sequestration technology. That assistance should come at a price: an immediate ban on mountaintop removal.
#6 BS: Putting a price on carbon is a “national energy tax”. Conservatives make this argument ad nauseam.
Reality check: As much as some conservatives enjoy applying the t-word to every idea they don’t like, carbon pricing is not a tax. It is a policy that brings the price of fossil fuels closer to their true costs to society. That’s called “correcting market signals”. It makes energy markets work better. It puts the magic back into the “magic of the marketplace”. When was it that conservatives became enemies of an efficient market?
If fiscal conservatives would like to make the marketplace even more efficient, they should repeal all subsidies for fossil and nuclear energy (subsidizing mature industries is corporate welfare) and give the money back to consumers to help them adjust to carbon pricing.
#5 BS: By increasing energy prices, cap and trade will hurt consumers in the depths of a recession.
Reality check: The cap-and-trade regime in the Waxman-Markey bill would not take effect until 2012. If we are still in the depths of a recession three years from now, our problems are much bigger than a few-cents increase in the cost of oil and coal. Besides, the bill contains ample protection for consumers, including those least able to afford higher energy prices.
#4 BS: Consumers will pay thousands of dollars more for energy every year. This reprises an argument that worked beautifully for the oil industry a few years ago in California, where it used the false threat of higher gasoline prices to turn public opinion against a proposed surcharge on oil companies (the referendum specifically prohibited oil companies from passing the surcharge on to consumers).
Reality check: The EPA and the Congressional Budget Office have concluded that the average increase in energy prices would be no more than 48 cents a day per household.
Even that estimate probably is too high. With or without carbon pricing, the real cost of fossil fuels will increase in the years ahead as easy supplies disappear, global competition increases, health problems increase and environmental regulations are properly enforced.
A good climate bill will help consumers avoid these costs by shifting to greater energy efficiency and clean energy technologies. We haven’t yet begun to tap the potential of energy efficiency in our homes, factories, vehicles and power systems. We haven’t begun to take advantage of the renewable energy technologies and designs that already are cost-effective, ranging from ground-source heat pumps to passive solar buildings. And the more we develop and use solar power, wind power and other emerging renewable energy technologies around the world, the cheaper they will become.
#3 BS: All of this spending on a “new energy economy” is placing a terrible debt on our children.
Reality check: The far more serious burden we leaving to our children is carbon debt. We can repay public debt, particularly if we have a national economy that isn’t made bankrupt by natural disasters, drought, disease and the other predicted consequences of climate change. We cannot repay the carbon debt.
The negative impact of carbon debt goes far beyond money, to the core of our security and quality of life. Our children will suffer from its burdens for hundreds, even thousands, of years.
#2 BS: Climate action is a “growth-killing millstone”. Republican Eric Cantor of Virginia used this phrase in the House debate over Waxman-Markey.
Reality check: Let’s take a close look at what’s really killing growth. Consider General Motors. It refused to plan for the future. It sought short-term profits by pushing inefficient vehicles that contribute to air pollution, climate change, oil addiction and, ultimately, higher oil prices.
There is a lesson here. The real “growth-killing millstone” is greed and short-sightedness. Our economy faces the same fate as GM if we don’t respond to the new realities of the new century.
The modern engine of business and jobs is a green engine. Clean energy technologies will soon offer the largest market the world has ever seen. The longer we deny that reality, the more we will fall behind in the international competition for industries and jobs.
And the #1 Bogus Statement in the climate debate today: Reducing greenhouse gas emissions is a choice between “liberty or tyranny.” This came from another House Republican, Minnesota's Michele Bachmann, during floor debate.
Reality check: The Constitution of the United States does not guarantee freedom to pollute or to endanger public health and safety or to threatened humankind with greater disease, disaster and dislocation due to global warming. The Declaration of Independence does not tell us that our unalienable rights include life, liberty and the pursuit of Hummers. Clean energy is no more a threat to our freedom than clean air or clean water.
If we want to end tyranny, then let’s liberate ourselves from extortion by oil producing nations, the prospect of losing our children in more resource wars, and the fate that awaits us if we continue sacrificing our security and long-term well-being to prolong an obsolete carbon economy.
The tyranny that threatens our freedom is the effort by Big Oil and King Coal and all those who carry water for them to delay our inevitable transition to a clean energy economy.
As I noted in part one of this series, Grading a Climate Bill, President Obama showed empathy in a recent New York Times interview for those Democrats in the House who voted against Waxman-Markey to protect their reelection prospects. But in the same interview, the president also said:
"(I)f you want to avoid potential political liabilities then you just do nothing around here in Washington. That seems to be the working theory. That's what's happened over the last several decades when it comes to energy. And my approach has been to say that rather than stand pat with a status quo that we know isn't working, that we need to reach out and shape our future."
Reality check: Right on, Mr. President. Now you’re onto it. As NRDC Climate Center Director David Hawkins said at the conclusion of his Senate testimony on the Waxman-Markey American Clean Energy and Security (ACES) bill:
"There is a story about the advice a Chinese gardener gave to his employer. When
the landowner asked, 'what is the best time to plant an oak tree,' the gardener replied, '100 years ago, but the second best time is today.' For climate protection perhaps the best time to enact a comprehensive program to fight global warming was 30 years ago but the second best time is this year."
See also:
Grading a Climate Bill: 4 Key Tests
Grading a Climate Bill: 8 Ways ACES Must Be Strengthened
In Congressional Hearings, Amateurs Invited to Confuse Climate Science
Clean Energy Climate Bill Gives Coal a Competitive Future














top ten bogus climate statements
Anonymous, above, has his own bogus statements about how it's all just a normal natural warming cycle.
I wonder if he's ever heard of the carbon cycle and what happens to it when you take 65 million years of accumlated carbon, in the form of coal, and put it into the atmosphere, and hence onto the short term carbon cycle.
That coal was formed by carbon precipitating out of the short term cycle and being "sequestered" away in the long term carbon cycle in the form of coal. This took 65 million years. That helped keep the short term carbon cycle in a balance that makes life as we know it possible on this planet. We are now reversing that process in a few hundred years, or a geological nanosecond. That is not a natural cycle. In fact it is unprecedented, as far as we know, in the history of the planet. Oil is basically the same story.
CCS coal is questionable, but not bogus, as a solution wedge
You know that it is not genuine (a synonym for bogus) to dismiss CCS. A Belfer Center report released today argues that CCS costs can drive down enough for it to play a role in GHG reductions. Some serious mitigation advocates believe coal with CCS will have an essential role to play. To call this solution wedge bogus rather than questionable is itself a distortion.
I fully support your argument that a cost-effective renewable energy ecosystem is the right goal, and achievable if the social cost of coal is factored into its price. But when vested interests distort reality to say coal and nuclear are our only scalable solutions, it only muddies our understanding to distort reality in return.
Climate science
For all the good intentions expressed at this website, the fact remains that "climate change science" is not true science but rather an attempt to prove a hypothesis that climate change is forced principally by anthropogenic emissions - without the benefit of validation. The study and prediction of climate change is, by necessity, an evaluation of the past and the assumption that similar relationships will hold going forward.
Because of the immense scale, long time periods, and non-linearity of the very complex processes of long-term climate change, controlled experimentation to prove a hypothesis that climate change is (or is not) the product of anthropogenic carbon emissions is impossible. Therefore, the relationships that go into any climate change model are the product of historical data and the model developer(s) interpretation of that data going forward. In other words, this climate change science is more of a 'belief system' than 'true science.'
I have spent most of a 35-year engineering career in the research, development, and commercialization of renewable energy and environmental technologies and have followed the path to today's 'climate change' legislative initiatives over that time period. I find the 'science' that serves as a basis to legislatively limit GHG (particularly CO2) emissions greatly lacking by virtually ignoring the natural phenomena that have occurred over the past 40-50 years - the same time period over which the 'global warming' phenomenon has been patterned.
Just one example - One of the most signficant oversights has been the role in climate change of the increase in seismic activity during this period. In 1964, there were nominally 5700 (global) documented seismic events. In 2004, there were over 120,000 (global) seismic events with the increase between 1964 and 2004 approximating an exponential profile. Many of these seismic events occurred in the oceans contributing to new thermal vents and underwater volcanos. While an accurate count of the new thermal release formations is not available, oceanographers continue to be surprised by findings of new underwater volcanos.
Yet, the climate change models reflected in the work of the IPCC give no credence to this input of energy and GHG into ocean waters. Every unit of energy and every molecule of GHG released from the earth's core into ocean waters sooner or later has an impact on atmospheric conditions. Yet, several noted climate change scientists have made the outrageous statement that there is no thermal contact between submarine volcanic activity and surface water temperature due to density differences in ocean waters at different depths. Since when did heat transfer become driven by 'delta density' instead of 'delta temperature?'
In 1999, a high level of submarine volcanic activity occurred in the Arctic Ocean. Observations of decreasing Arctic ice begin to surface shortly thereafter. Yet, 'global warming scientists' have dissed the relationship calling any correlation as 'coincidence'. I have even read articles where 'global warming scientists' have referenced ocean water temperature increases in the vicinity of underwater volcanoes as further evidence of man-made 'global warming.'
The promotion of renewable energy and energy conservation should be made in the name of 'domestic energy security' along with the proper use of fossil fuels and nuclear. Climate change will always be with us from natural phenomena.
Let's not force the public to pay for the 'belief system' of 'global warming' any more than they should be forced to pay for a 'state church'.
Dear Mr. Anonymous, Can you
Dear Mr. Anonymous,
Can you point to any peer reviewed literature to back up your point of view? Otherwise it falls into the category of amateur speculation whose credibility is further weakened by your reluctance to share your identity.
You say in 1964, there were nominally 5700 documented seismic events, and that by 2004 the number of these events had jumped exponentially to over 120,000.
Where is Chicken Little when we need him?!!
Are you sure the increase was not merely the result of increased scientific measurement of the phenomenon during that period? How do we know that there aren't really 500,000 seismic events going on right now, and there always have been, only we didn't know it? How is a "seismic event defined? Has the definition changed over time, given new measuring technology?
These are basic questions, among many others, that need scientific review and publication, before amateurs like yourself can feel confident opining in public that climate change is being caused by earthquakes.
Unless of course you're aiming to get into the next top ten BS list of bogus statements.
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